Earthquake Phobia? No, reasonable fear says JGov.

The Asahi Shimbun August 30 2012, Japan.

An offshore Pacific earthquake of the scale that hit Japan last year would trigger 34-meter tsunami, resulting in at least 323,000 deaths and devastating much of the coastline from Honshu to Kyushu, experts say.

This grim scenario is the result of a radical reappraisal of a possible magnitude-9.1 earthquake in the Nankai Trough in light of the Great East Japan Earthquake that left 20,000 people dead or missing.

The estimate of fatalities in a Nankai Trough earthquake is 13 times higher than the figure offered by the central government in 2003.

Until the March 11 disaster, experts had assumed that no quake greater than magnitude-8.0 would hit the region off Miyagi Prefecture in northern Japan. Last year’s earthquake was magnitude-9.0, putting it among the top five of the world’s biggest quakes.

Two expert panels were commissioned by the government to offer a realistic assessment of what Japan can expect if a Nankai Trough earthquake strikes.

At the same time, the panels cautioned that the possibility of such a major disaster occurring was low. However, they called on the public to be “properly fearful” of what may lie ahead……


The appraisal said the Hamaoka nuclear power plant in Omaezaki, Shizuoka Prefecture, would be under nine meters of water if work to build an 18-meter-high breakwater wall and higher embankment walls is not taken into account.

The work is expected to be completed in December.

The plant stopped operations in May 2011, two months after the Great East Japan Earthquake, at the request of Prime Minister Naoto Kan because it lies within the epicenter of a predicted major quake.

The maximum tsunami height in Omaezaki was put at 19 meters.

Chubu Electric Power Co., which operates the Hamaoka plant, has installed water-proof doors for the reactors and moved emergency generators to elevated ground 40 meters above sea level.

The utility will likely have to implement further measures because flooding in nuclear reactors would result in an automatic shutdown.

Estimates of fatalities and damage to infrastructure and buildings were based on a number of factors: the focus of the earthquake, the time it occurs, the season and wind speed. Four locations were cited as likely to experience the greatest damage: the Tokai and Kinki regions, Shikoku and Kyushu…….” partial quote.

That nuclear reactor cooling systems a vulnerable to earthquake was noted by the Atomic Energy Commission before any reactors were built in Japan.
In the 1960s and 1970s the nuclear bloc within the US maintained the risk was technical and not a realistic fear. On the other hand, individuals within the nuclear bloc, including regulatory and licensing staff, reactor designers and scientists both within the industry and outside it, disagreed.

The construction of reactors in Japan went ahead regardless. The Japanese industry, originated by the strategic interests of the USA, was thoroughly inculcated by the US industry credos. Immutably perfectly safe. So safe that today in Japan, some people in agreement with the nuclear rose rapidly through the ranks at Japanese universities. Such people were wheeled out in March 2011 and since, and were used to mouth the industry line that it is safe for babies to eat plutonium.

Now is the time to gather all the lies and false claims told to the people since March 2011 and fling it all back into faces of the authorities which uttered the nonsense, in contrast with the emergent truth.

2 Responses to “Earthquake Phobia? No, reasonable fear says JGov.”

  1. CaptD Says:

    They can build all the seawalls they like, but Fukushima proved that Nature can destroy any land based nuclear reactor, any place anytime 24/7/365!

    They are even in denial about the other reports that said that the quake actually started the meltdown sequence because it knocked down electricity lines and also damaged critical piping “INSIDE” the reactor complex:

  2. CaptD Says:

    I forgot to mention that Japan cannot another Fukushima yet their Leaders are gambling Japans future so that the Utility Gangs can profit despite most Japanese people wanting no more Nuclear!

    The Japanese people better get even more vocal if they want to insure the future of their Country and their children’s way of life!

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